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Economic and Political Aspects of Baselines in the CDM Context

 

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Abstract

SUMMARY: The efficiency of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) can be seriously hampered because both investors and hosts of CDM projects will seek to achieve maximum emission reduction. To avoid overstatement of emission reduction, it becomes necessary to define the emission that would have occurred without the project — the “baseline.” This chapter describes several possible kinds of baselines and the problems posed by each. Country-wide base-lines offer the possibility of quantifying indirect effects through aggregation, but this must be balanced against the uncertainty of the assumptions required in an aggregate baseline. Sectoral baselines are as problematic as sector boundaries are arbitrary. Thus, project-specific baselines with sectoral elements are recommended as a basis for the CDM.

JEL-Classification: Q23, Q25, Q13 
Keywords: Clean Development Mechanism